Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 69.536324 78.480329 87.621488 97.630216 108.248965 119.149425 131.155370
2025-11-09 54.963528 67.705989 81.325035 96.828953 113.862592 131.892405 152.308129
2025-11-16 46.630462 61.446204 77.818099 96.974445 118.519939 141.779280 168.571936
2025-11-23 39.537209 55.628559 73.979825 95.991253 121.257859 148.991206 181.390334
2025-11-30 35.106666 52.351651 72.562226 97.307860 126.182305 158.290647 196.207652
2025-12-07 31.571836 49.757684 71.617905 98.881821 131.152776 167.438806 210.679022
2025-12-14 27.328370 45.861780 68.774405 97.920410 132.936642 172.758399 220.645578
2025-12-21 23.241527 41.776803 65.387394 96.034843 133.405738 176.378654 228.509296
2025-12-28 21.981708 41.350974 66.505919 99.574373 140.265945 187.370780 244.812281
2026-01-04 20.197665 40.028605 66.349274 101.433473 145.029958 195.856574 258.176987
2026-01-11 17.698273 37.456726 64.392162 100.894916 146.776009 200.704957 267.243627
2026-01-18 15.483509 35.090463 62.554276 100.381859 148.452906 205.393996 276.060624
2026-01-25 13.811627 33.423310 61.597734 100.976978 151.508477 211.769002 286.933770
2026-02-01 11.869339 31.125333 59.633936 100.157456 152.729721 215.895579 295.123370
2026-02-08 10.416915 29.470740 58.468389 100.306266 155.101301 221.361258 304.862227
2026-02-15 8.817053 27.362503 56.518390 99.304157 155.936662 224.903281 312.262560
2026-02-22 7.959033 26.491755 56.329589 100.645964 159.738167 232.050366 323.969097
2026-03-01 7.240057 25.797799 56.356682 102.249830 163.855334 239.573175 336.123167
2026-03-08 6.042649 23.987587 54.574345 101.270176 164.567228 242.855650 343.132472
2026-03-15 4.812724 21.878709 52.191614 99.348598 163.973164 244.462404 348.066767
2026-03-22 4.689030 22.207559 53.700673 102.955476 170.661044 255.150276 364.050572
2026-03-29 4.283474 21.824295 54.025523 104.849526 175.074626 262.993536 376.572680
2026-04-05 3.535778 20.475641 52.690980 104.300873 176.208459 266.702457 384.031387